Injury Report
⚾ TOR SHARP MONEY · 22PT DIVERGENCE · STEAM 2:40 PM CT · ELITE SIGNAL CONFIRMED
⚕ BUXTON OUT · SCHWARBER OUT · JEFFERS Q · MIN AND PHI LINES OPEN FOR REPRICE
◈ DAILY BOARD · INTEGRATED INJURY WIRE · ODDSRINGER · TUE MAY 19, 2026 ◈
TUESDAY · MAY 19 · 2026
DAILY BOARD
PICKS · ODDSRINGER · INJURY WIRE · ONE PAGE · LOCKED & SCORED
◆ TONIGHT'S SUMMARY
17 EVENTS · 2 PICKS · 3 INJURY HITS THAT MOVE LINES
► BOARD READOUT v2.1
EVENTS SCANNED17
RPS 85+ QUALIFIED2 ELITE
INJURY-MOVED LINES3
UNITS DEPLOYED2.0u
RETURN IF BOTH WIN+1.88u
⚕ INJURY WIRE · TONIGHT'S LINE-MOVERS
CONFIRMED OUTS / GAME-TIME DECISIONS THAT REPRICE THE BOARD
MINvs HOU 6:40
Byron Buxton (CF) — OUT of lineup tonight (hip). Twins lose top WAR bat and elite defensive CF against Houston. Lineup downgrade is real: Buxton's wRC+ leads the team. Twins line was MIN -137 with Buxton; fair value without him drifts toward MIN -120 to -125. Market has not fully adjusted. Ryan Jeffers (C) also Q with wrist sprain from last night — backup catcher framing downgrade vs McCullers.
HIGH IMPACT
LINE ↓ ~12c
LINE ↓ ~12c
PHIvs CIN 5:40
Kyle Schwarber (DH) — OUT of lineup tonight. Phillies lose lefty thump against Chase Burns (R, 1.87 ERA). Cincinnati was already a real fade-the-public spot at +124 — without Schwarber the dog price is even more interesting. Burns has a 35.5% K-rate; Schwarber is the one Phillies bat that punishes mistake fastballs at the top of the zone. Without him the lineup tilts heavily contact-and-hope.
HIGH IMPACT
CIN +124 FIRMS
CIN +124 FIRMS
BOSvs KC 6:40
Ceddanne Rafaela (CF) — day-to-day. Carlos Narvaez (C) — out of lineup (finger). Two contact bats off the Boston lineup against Bailey Falter (L, 10.13 ERA in small sample). Net effect modest — Falter's ERA wall is so large that lineup quality matters less than usual.
MODERATE
NO LINE MOVE
NO LINE MOVE
SFvs ARI 8:40
Jung Hoo Lee (RF) — out (back). Willy Adames (SS) — Q (thumb bruise). Giants lose top-of-order OBP and middle-infield production at Chase Field. ARI -125 firms toward -135 fair.
MODERATE
ARI FIRMS
ARI FIRMS
STLvs PIT 6:45
Masyn Winn (SS) — day-to-day (left knee). Top defensive SS uncertain. Doesn't move line enough to matter — game is essentially pick'em already.
LOW
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL
NBA · CLEvs NYK 7:00
Larry Nance Jr. — Q (illness) for Game 1 ECF. Cavs bench frontcourt depth issue. Spurs' De'Aaron Fox out for WCF Game 1 tomorrow (ankle) — note for Wednesday slate.
LOW
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL
⚾ ELITE PICKS · MLB
RPS ≥ 85 · MONEYLINE ONLY · 1U EACH · INJURY-ADJUSTED
ELITE
TOR Blue Jays @ NY Yankees · 6:05 PM CT · Yankee Stadium
PICK: TOR Blue Jays ML +114 · 1u to win 1.14u
Sharp-money fingerprint. NYY drawing 74% of bet count but only 52% of dollar handle — that 22pt gap means small public bettors stack the Yankee chalk while big money sits on Toronto at the plus price. Dylan Cease (2.41 ERA, 3-1) carries a real pitching edge over Will Warren (3.42, 5-1). Cease threw 7 IP / 2 ER last start; Warren's last two were 5 IP / 4 ER each. Yankee Stadium plays small but Cease's K profile travels. Toronto's road bullpen has been stable post-Olympic break.
▸ DIVERGENCE: 22pt (74B / 52H). Sharps on TOR. Pitching edge underpriced. ELITE: TOR ML +114 · 1u.
MSS
31
FES
22
MATH
35
RPS
88
ELITE
ATL Braves @ MIA Marlins · 3:10 PM CT · loanDepot Park
PICK: ATL Braves ML -136 · 1u to win 0.74u
Pitching mismatch the market caught but not at full size. Braxton Garrett carries a 33.75 ERA across his 2026 sample — every inning has been distressed. Martin Perez sits at 2.25 with above-average road command. ATL 32-16 (16-8 road), MIA 22-26. Handle 93% on ATL, bets 80% — sharper average ticket on the favorite, which is the right side. Chalk is heavy but the gap supports it. Buy-the-favorite, not fade-the-public.
▸ DIVERGENCE: 13pt (80B / 93H). Sharps stack ATL. Garrett ERA wall. ELITE: ATL ML -136 · 1u.
MSS
28
FES
30
MATH
28
RPS
86
⚙ ODDSRINGER™ · FULL SLATE
OPEN → CONSENSUS · HANDLE/BETS SPLIT · LINE-MOVE FLAGS · ALL 17
TIER
MATCHUP · TIME
ML
SPLIT (B/H)
OPEN→CONS
FLAG
RPS
ELITE
TOR @ NYY · 6:05 PMCease 2.41 vs Warren 3.42
TOR +114
74B / 52H
+113 → +119
RLM
88
ELITE
ATL @ MIA · 3:10 PMPerez 2.25 vs Garrett 33.75
ATL -136
80B / 93H
-126 → -126
SHARP
86
STRONG
CLE @ DET · 5:40 PMMessick 2.35 vs Montero 3.65
CLE -144
75B / 87H
-120 → -144
SHARP
84
STRONG
ATH @ LAA · 8:38 PMLopez 5.80 vs Detmers 4.38 · LAA 17-31
ATH +113
56B / 70H
+109 → +113
RLM
82
STRONG
BAL @ TB · 5:40 PMBradish 4.21 vs Jax 3.91
TB -125
76B / 87H
-126 → -120
SHARP
80
STRONG
HOU @ MIN · 6:40 PMMcCullers 6.86 vs Matthews 0.00 · BUXTON OUT
MIN -137
69B / 75H
-143 → -137
INJ ADJ
78
STRONG
LAD @ SD · 8:40 PMSheehan 4.54 vs Canning 10.64
SD +135
14B / 27H
-156 → -163
RLM
78
STRONG
BOS @ KC · 6:40 PMSuarez 2.44 vs Falter 10.13
BOS -131
74B / 77H
-115 → -131
SHARP
76
STRONG
NYM @ WSH · 5:45 PMMcLean 2.92 vs Griffin 3.53
NYM -144
73B / 69H
-163 → -144
DROP
74
STRONG
TEX @ COL · 7:40 PMRocker 4.34 vs Peralta · Coors
COL -109
28B / 40H
-126 → -110
RLM
74
STRONG
CHW @ SEA · 8:40 PMKay 4.61 vs Miller 3.38
SEA -156
71B / 77H
-149 → -156
SHARP
70
STRONG
CIN @ PHI · 5:40 PMBurns 1.87 vs Luzardo 5.07 · SCHWARBER OUT
CIN +124
32B / 36H
+113 → +124
INJ ADJ
70
STRONG
NBA · CLE @ NYK · 7:00 PMECF G1 · Nance Q · NYK -7.5
NYK -7.5
48B / 57H
-6.5 → -7.5
SHARP
70
LEAN
PIT @ STL · 6:45 PMKeller 3.59 vs Liberatore 4.40
STL -119
53B / 59H
-108 → -119
FLAT
68
LEAN
SF @ ARI · 8:40 PMRoupp 3.49 vs Nelson 5.40 · LEE OUT
ARI -125
63B / 58H
-120 → -125
FLAT
66
PASS
MIL @ CHC · 6:40 PMMisiorowski 2.12 vs Brown 1.60
MIL -118
59B / 59H
-115 → -118
FLAT
62
PASS
NBA · CLE @ NYK MLPlayoff G1 · no edge
NYK -265
65B / 61H
-258 → -265
FLAT
58
⚙ ENGINE READOUT
HOW TWO PICKS CAME OUT OF SEVENTEEN
► RINGERSTAX v2.1
RPS FORMULA35% MSS · 25% FES · 40% MATH
MIN PICK THRESHOLD85.0
MARKET STRUCTURE (MSS)Divergence · RLM · Steam
FORM + EDGE (FES)ERA · Record · Park · Injuries
MATHRINGERKelly · Shannon · Poisson · Elo
SLATE RULEMax 2 MLB picks · ML only
FLAG LEGENDRLM · SHARP · INJ ADJ · FLAT · FADE